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Changing Direction

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 4/25/2013 7:26:15 PM

WESTCHESTER STAKES

What: Westchester Stakes                                                                                                                                             Who: Flat Out (win)
Where: Belmont Park
When: Saturday, April 17

With the last prep for the Kentucky Derby the Derby Trial this weekend likely not to change the complexion of the big race, let’s take online sports betting site players on a tour of the Westchester Stakes at Belmont trying to change direction and earn some betting money for the first Saturday in May.

The Grade 3 mile fixture has been won by some nice horses over the decades including Triple Crown winner Assault, brilliant sprinters King Swan and Rubiano and last year To Honor and Serve was coming off a 6-month layoff for Bill Mott and won going away with a 105 Beyer Speed Figure.

Mott is hoping for the same result Saturday with Flat Out, who got a prep under his belt in the Grade 2 New Orleans Handicap at Fair Grounds last month.
The ‘horse for the course’ online betting angle is in full view here as Flat Out is unbeaten in three races at Belmont including multiple Grade 1 wins.

This veteran wintered in Florida and has trained classically at Palm Meadows this winter.

Far from disgraced in the Breeders’ Cup Classic last year when third, this guy has been beaten by Graydar in the last two defeats and that runner is not going today.

Todd Pletcher has two runners in this race. Mordi’s Miracle breaks from the rail and Cross Traffic starts from post 2.

Miracle was out of the money in his only local start and is coming off a solid second in a Grade 3 race.

Jimi Hendrix fans know that Cross Traffic is unbeaten in two starts after handling short fields at Gulfstream.

Winslow Homer was off for well over a year and ran 4th beaten a length and a half at Tampa in February.

Rattlesnake Bridge took the entire 2012 horse betting season off and was life and death for his first race back cashing by a head March 30 at Gulfstream in an optional claimer.

Norman Asbjornson comes here sharp after winning a $90,000 stakes at Laurel with a 103 Beyer.

Big Screen comes into this picture off a last-race best Beyer of 110. He toyed with optional claiming rivals in last winning by over 9 lengths against only 4 rivals.
The liars in the stands may go with Pants on Fire, who was a Grade 2 winner at 3 and pressed and faded when 9th in Animal Kingdom’s Kentucky Derby.

When the gates open, look for this kind of scenario.

With a plethora of speed in the race including both Pletcher runners and several stalkers, the race may set up for a deep closer.

Flat Out fits the bill. The fact he won in his second career start gives him the right to fire now after getting a race under his girth.

He may not have adored the rail last time and on his best day, he can maintain contact maybe 4 or 5 off a projected hot pace.

Flat Out may just be flat out too good here.


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