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TROUBLING TIMES

Posted by on 11/18/2013 8:29:54 PM

In this crazy current world troubling times are the order of the day but online sports betting site players know that they must correctly evaluate trouble on the race track in order to make money in the future.

The most astute players realize that in this great game there is trouble, perceived trouble and double trouble when it comes to runners and bad racing luck.

Sometimes when a favorite gets beat one can chalk it up to a runner just being perceived as being better than he or she is but that was not the case for Insolvent in the third race at Aqueduct on Friday November 15.

Entered in a $20,000 claimer going 6 furlongs, Insolvent was coming off a win against $12,500 claiming rivals and in that win she cashed by over 11 lengths with a 76 Beyer Speed Figure.

Claimed from that race by Bruce Brown, she was obviously stepping up but she possesses the great equalizer in speed.

This filly has led wire-to-wire in all of her wins but last Friday, Insolvent stumbled at the start, had to rush up and still made the lead, fought head and head through the final furlong, lost the lead around the 16th pole, and had to settle for second money.

Granted, she will not be a great value play next time in the win slot, but she was 6 clear of the show horse on Friday and looms an excellent prospect to key in the exactas, trifectas and pick-three next time. If she comes back in a similar spot, she will be very tough to beat.

Take a look at Sidearm in the 5th race at Aqueduct on November 16. It was a $100,000 stakes for 2-year-olds on turf. At first glance, players would look at his running line and see a horse that broke dead last and passed just a couple of horses but the trip was much worse than that indicates.

Players should pay strict attention to the comments in the charts in New York that are made by Equibase Chart Caller Danny Kulchisky. He is wordy and can get overwhelmed, but he really gives a good picture of the action at the track through his descriptions.

With a pretty quick run to the first turn in the mile grass stakes, Sidearm was forced to check right before he got to the turn. His rider tried to save ground but was forced 5 wide and by that time it was too late to make an impact.

Sidearm overcame trouble to win his race debut and connections would high enough on him to put in a stakes next out. He was only a brief factor in that September 28 effort before wilting but the horse that beat him, Wired Bryan, is a runner.

Bryan took a Grade 2 in his second start and after that September win, he came back next out and took a $150,000 stakes at Belmont with a 90 Beyer.

This was only Sidearm???s second attempt on grass and he should be value next time in a first-step allowance spot.

When examining a race, focusing and visualizing on the exact kind of trip a runner has is key to making winning bets in the future.


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