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Tampa Bay Derby Betting - Coast-to-Coast Stakes

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 3/7/2013 6:09:51 PM

TAMPA BAY DERBY/SAN FELIPE STAKES

What:Tampa Bay Derby/San Felipe Stakes       
Who:
 Tampa Bay Derby/Key Verrazano with Dynamic Sky/Falling Sky/Java’s War
Who:  San Felipe/Key Flashback with Goldencents/Here the Ghost/Omega Star
Where: Tampa Bay/Santa Anita
When: Saturday, March 9

The Grade 2 $350,000 Tampa Bay Derby will be showcased today in Florida while Californians are looking forward to the $300,000 San Felipe and both will be run at a mile and a sixteenth. 

Dynamic Sky had a horrible sports betting trip in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last year. He kicked off 2013 winning the $100,000 Pasco Stakes locally and followed it up with a tough beat in the Grade 3 Sam Davis when his rally fell short by just a neck to one of today’s rivals Falling Sky. The way he closed suggests the distance is well within the reach.

Trainer Mark Casse is hoping for that déjà vu feeling in the Tampa Bay as he trained Prospective to win the Tampa Bay Derby last year. Casse is using a little different strategy with Dynamic Sky. Last year Prospective also won the Pasco, but then he came right back and won this race coming from mid-pack to record a 90 Beyer Speed Figure.

Showing talent from Day One, Falling Sky has only run one poor race and that was in his Tampa debut when facing winners for the first time in a stakes. He made a huge leap last time when routing for the first time and he overcame a poor start to hold on and win by a neck. The series of betting sites drills since the last race are ideally spaced and his trainer John Terranova has been firing on all cylinders. He has won with 6 of his 12 starters this meeting. The major concern for this runner is the post position. Post 9 this meeting at this distance is 0 for 7, and post 8 is 1 for 16. That is something he will need to overcome.

The horse to beat in Tampa is Verrazano. This tough son of More Than Ready will race around two turns for the first time and it will be a pivotal test. The winner of this race will get 50 points pointing toward the Kentucky Derby so any horse that can not capitalize, could fall behind in attempting to qualify for the Derby.

This runner cost $250,000 and he broke onto the racing scene with an impressive near 8-length win and then proved it was no fluke by winning his second race by over 16 lengths with a clever 105 Beyer. The horse that was third in the daylight win came back to beat allowance runners.

Verrazano has an excellent pedigree. He is out of a non-winning dam but that dam is kin to a pair of Grade 2 winners and Verrazano’s half brother El Padrino won a Grade 2 going a mile and a sixteenth and was also 4th in the Florida Derby.

Verrazano looks too sharp right now. Use him with both Sky horses in the gimmicks and also use Java’s War to complete the exotic.

There are two pretty obvious horses in the San Felipe, Flashback and Goldencents and a couple of outsiders that could upset the apple cart.

Okay, the stakes win by Flashback in the Robert Lewis was only against 3 rivals and he was the speed of the speed, but this colt can motor and he seems to be coming to this race at the top of his game. He worked out Sunday under regular rider Julien Leparoux and went :59 flat. It was the fastest at the distance and the average 5-furlong work that morning was 1:01.72.

Flashback’s best asset is that he appears not to be speed crazy.

Goldencents has only lost once and he had to ship 3,000 miles and had a trouble trip against Shaghai Bobby, who won the Breeder’ Cup Juvenile and won the Eclipse Award.

He proved he could win at this distance of a mile and a sixteenth when he won the Delta Jackpot and he then cashed on this surface taking the Sham with a 98 Beyer.

The fourth finisher in his last win, the Sham, returned to win an allowance race at Sunland Park and then took the $120,000 Mine That Bird there with an 81 Beyer.

He figures to make the lead but may have to work if longshot Salutos Amigos challenges early.

The two horse betting outsiders in the San Felipe appear to be Hear the Ghost and Omega Star. The Ghost was scary good in his debut at 16-1. This guy was far from disgraced in the $75,000 San Pedro and will be trying to carry his speed long for the first time.

Omega Star is trained by Zenyatta’s conditioner John Shirreffs, so he knows what to do with a good horse. The runner had the lead in the lane in his last race, the mile California Breeders’ Championship but gave it up to one of today’s rivals, Tiz a Minister. His trainer wasn’t taking the loss at face value, Shirreffs told the Daily Racing Form “I don’t think the last race is indicative of what he can do. He doesn’t have a big kick, but he’s got a big stride and distance is not an issue.”

Key Flashback on top with Goldencents, Hear the Ghost and Omega Star.

Good luck.


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