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Take Nicole H in Vagrancy, Kettle Corn to Upset Californian

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 6/1/2012 4:52:22 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds ??? Nicole H, C C???s Pal, Game On Dude, Morning Line, Prayer for Relief, Kettle Corn
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips ??? The Vagrancy, The Californian
Where: Belmont Park, Hollywood Park
When: Saturday, June 2nd

A competitive group of older filly and mare sprinters line up Saturday in Belmont Park???s Grade 2 Vagrancy. Later that day a compact field of five, including a trio of millionaires, will contest the Grade 2 Californian at Hollywood Park. Let???s take a brief look at the major players.

In the Vagrancy, morning line favorite #3-Nicole H (2-1) is the choice. Granted, she was defeated by the hard-hitting #1a-C C???s Pal (5-2) the last two times they faced off, but there are reasons to believe she???ll turn the tables on that rival in the Vagrancy. In a race lacking early speed, it looks like Nicole H can control the pace and prove ultra-tough to run down. She???ll also enjoy a positive two-pound weight shift vs. C C???s Pal. Both are 1-for-1 at Belmont Park, but Nicole H owns the Beyer advantage over that strip (99-91). In the event that the track is off, you???ll note that Nicole H posted her career-best Beyer (100) in the off going, while C C???s Pal tops out at 86 in four off-track tries. Also, it doesn???t hurt that Nicole H will be reunited with Ramon Dominguez ??? they???ve teamed up for a record of 7-5-1-0 since September of 2010. I???ll bet on #3-Nicole H to win at odds of 6-5 or better.

The Californian is loaded with quality, with millionaires #1-Game On Dude ($2,254,658), #3-Morning Line ($1,212,300), and #4-Prayer for Relief (1,087,225) signed on. However, I???ll be betting on #5-Kettle Corn, who has come to hand nicely since John Sadler took over the training chores last summer. Game On Dude and Morning Line each possess high-quality speed, and are expected to be eye-balling one another most of the way. #2-Uh Oh Bango and Prayer for Relief are likely to be next in line, with Kettle Corn bringing up the rear. Kettle Corn was coming off a five-month break last out when third behind Morning Line and Prayer for Relief, and did himself no favors with an awkward start. He???ll be reunited with the talented Joel Rosario for this event???that pair is 2-for-2 going two turns on artificial surfaces, coming from the clouds both times. Kettle Corn owns a 3-2-0-1 mark at Hollywood Park, highlighted by a win in the Grade 3 Native Diver Handicap two back, in which he earned a career-best Beyer Speed Figure of 101. He???s also 2-for-2 going the 1 1/8th-mile distance of the Californian. There???s lots to like here, especially the price. I???ll bet on #5-Kettle Corn to win and place at odds of 7-2 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!


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