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Slim Shadey, Little Jerry the Picks at Hollywood Park

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 12/14/2012 4:21:19 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Slim Shadey, Grandeur, Grassy, Bourbon Bay, He’s Had Enough, Carving, Violence, Really Mr Greely, Little Jerry
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Hollywood Turf Cup, The CashCall Futurity
Where: Hollywood Park
When: Saturday, December 15th

Will the real Slim Shadey please stand up…please stand up. Slim Shadey does his best work on the front end. If he grabs the early lead in Saturday’s Grade 2 Hollywood Turf Cup, ‘Shadey may prove tough to catch. Later in the card, I’ll be looking for Little Jerry to spring the upset in the Grade 1 CashCall Futurity. Let’s take a closer look at these races below.

#3-Slim Shadey (7-2) has come up a tad short in his forays into the Grade 1 ranks, grabbing a pair of seconds in five outings. He’s been plenty tough in Grade 2’s, however, with a 3-2-1-0 slate. Both Grade 2 wins came in gate-to-wire fashion going 1 ¼ miles on the Santa Anita lawn. He finished a game second behind Bourbon Bay in the Grade 2 San Luis Rey at a mile-and-a-half, while spotting that rival five pounds. On Saturday, they’re at equal weights. #7-Bourbon Bay (7-2) is coming off a 2 ½-month break and gets a rider switch to Mike Smith. BB’s recent winning efforts have come with less time between races. #4-Grandeur (5-2) will take plenty of action, but he has yet to establish his credentials at 1 ½ miles. #6-Grassy (8-1) is right with these on his best day, and he’s coming off a solid second in the Breeders’ Cup Marathon, which was his dirt debut. Without any other confirmed speed types signed on, I’m looking for Slim Shadey to set a comfortable early pace and lead this bunch on a merry chase to the wire. I’ll bet on Slim Shadey to win and place at odds of 3-1 or better.

The Grade 1 CashCall Futurity looks like a wide-open affair, with East Coast shipper #6-Violence (7-2) the lukewarm morning line favorite. Violence is 2-for-2 lifetime, including the Grade 2 Nashua at Aqueduct last out. He’s well-bred, cost $600,000 as a yearling, and hails from the powerhouse Todd Pletcher barn. Still, he’s shipping cross country and trying a new surface, so demand value. #1-He’s Had Enough (9-2) finished a bang-up second to the undefeated Shanghai Bobby in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last out, and has a polytrack win at Del Mar. He should handle Hollywood’s Cushion Track, but it remains a question. #2-Den’s Legacy (6-1), #4-Carving (8-1), #8-Really Mr Greely and #9-Title Contender (10-1) give trainer Bob Baffert four shots at the Winner’s Circle. Of those, Really Mr Greely owns the top Beyer Speed Figure (98), but will be making his two-turn debut. Carving is one of two runners in the field with a route win over the track. The other is #10-Little Jerry (12-1)…my pick to upset. Little Jerry came from far back in his career debut to win by a neck. He earned a solid Beyer of 83 in that race, and figures to improve off that effort. His morning drills since that race are sharp, signaling a move forward. With an abundance of early-speed types, the race should set up nicely for his closing style. I’ll bet on Little Jerry across the board at odds of 8-1 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for the weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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