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Next Stop Kentucky

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 4/4/2013 7:05:12 PM

SANTA ANITA DERBY

What: Santa Anita Derby     
Who: Flashback (key for $ 1 dollar first and second in the trifecta with Power Broker, Goldencents, Super Ninety Nine, Tiz a Minister and Dirty Swagg)
Where: Santa Anita
When: Saturday, April

The Grade 1 $750,000 Santa Anita Derby has drawn a strong field today for online sports betting site players to evaluate and the winner will punch his ticket to the Kentucky Derby.

Several runners have turned the Santa Anita Derby/Kentucky Derby double including Triple Crown winner Affirmed.

Likely favorite Flashback has been popular on the tote board every time and he got hooked into a speed duel last time and could not withstand the heat. Garrett Gomez will ride this time and you can make a case that this guy should sit an ideal trip; maybe third off a live pace, primed to pounce when it counts.

Trained by Bob Baffert, who has won this race 7 times, Flashback has every right to continue on his way to be a super nice horse.

His full sister Zazu won multiple betting sites Grade 1s, earned nearly $700,000 and she handled this track and Churchill running third in the 9-furlong Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks in 2011 beaten under three lengths when inching toward the winner late. This colt is the one to beat.

Power Broker is yet another Baffert bullet trying to get glory in this prestigious race.

Baffert is 20 for 69 or 29% the last 5 years with runners come off a 61-180 day layoff in a Graded stakes and 13 ran second.

This son of Pulpit took a few races to figure it out and didn’t graduate until he got a chance run on conventional dirt here breaking his maiden in the Grade 1 Front Runner in September.

The pedigree is there for this runner to star. His dam won a stakes and earned over $100,000 but the dam is also kin to a Grade 3 winner, an over $700,000 earner that won a Grade 2 and also to Miss Shop, who won the Grade 1 Personal Ensign at a mile and a quarter on way to a $1.1 million career.

Trainer Doug O’Neill, who saddles this horse betting winner of the Grade 3 Sham, is looking for that déjà vu moment as his student I’ll Have Another won the Santa Anita Derby last year and parlayed to glory in the Kentucky Derby.

Pushed along last time when facing a career fast pace, Goldencents could have been a bit short and he tired to run 4th in the San Felipe when he was fried in a speed duel with Flashback.

The fourth finisher in his last win, the Sham, returned to win an allowance race at Sunland Park and then took the $120,000 Mine That Bird there with an 81 Beyer before running out of the money in the Sunland Derby.

Goldencents’ regular rider Kevin Krigger will again be in the saddle and he is confident this runner can rate. The rider in the DRF, Krigger: “He can settle for me. Last time, I told Doug he was ready to settle and then Flashback got to me and it took away the plan. I think the farther he goes, the better he’ll get. If you see him relax in the SA Derby, they’re in trouble.”

With Goldencents likely to take back and make one run, Super Ninety Nine just might get a lonely lead.

This $260,000 juvenile purchase has the pedigree to star. His dam won multiple Grade 1s and banked nearly a million.

His sibling Elusive Horizon won a number of stakes going 9 furlongs on way to near $250,000 career. After the Rebel loss Baffert’s assistant Jim Barnes said, “No real excuses at this point. We had the trip we expected. He was able to sit off the pace like we wanted.”

Flashback is the one to beat, so key him on top and hope longer shots like Power Broker, Goldencents, Super Ninety Nine, Tiz a Minister and Dirty Swagg are in the trifecta and it comes back with value.
Good luck.


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