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Risen Star Stakes Betting – A Star is Born

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 2/21/2013 6:20:29 PM

What: Risen Star Stakes 
Who:  Palace Malice (win)
Where: Fair Grounds
When: Saturday, February 23

The Battle in the Bayou is showcased Saturday in the Grade 2 $400,000 Risen Star Stakes and with a full field, agility and racing luck will be pivotal.

Proud Strike is a full sports betting brother to the Grade 3 winner and over $450,000 earner Pleasant Strike. This youngster hooked a freak in the debut, improved when given a chance at real estate next out when beaten by a runner that repeated in a $75,000 optional and then drew off as he pleased last time in a live race.

Bob Baffert trains Code West and he is solid with this move. He is 27% the last 5 years in a 288-runner sample with blinkers off runners in a Graded stakes. This guy hooked the promising Doug O’Neill runner to kick off his career and was beaten by stablemate last time Super Ninety Nine, who returned to win for fun in the off going in the Grade 3 Southwest at Oaklawn last Monday with a 101 Beyer.

Lightly-raced Agent got away with very moderate splits in last and had plenty left to draw away late but the pace today should be much faster. Though he won his debut vs. state-breds he needed :13.92 to run the last furlong and that is nothing to write home about.

Considering that Oxbow was by himself in the LeComte and that probably nobody was going to beat him that day. Golden Soul’s last betting sites race was not all that bad. The show horse in the debut graduated next out by a neck with a 78 Beyer and the place horse 12/30 returned to hold on by a neck in his diploma party. Consistency has been his calling card and would not be shocked if he were much closer to the pace this time.

Experience could work to Mylute’s favor. Once he got the taste of Grade 3 action in Chicago, the light seemed to go on. Okay, the pace was pedestrian in last and this colt got a good trip but he drew off like a seasoned pro.

Palace Malice has some angles. This trainer Todd Pletcher 14 for 84 or 17% the last 5 years with sprint to route runners in a Graded race and 12 ran second. This trainer has won this race 2 of the last 3 years and he is looking for that déjà vu feeling here with this runner. Last year his student El Padrino was coming off a winning $75,000 optional score where he posted a 100 Beyer and then he got an ideal stalk and pounce trip to win this race with a 98 figure. Sired by two-time Horse of the Year who could run all day, this guy’s dam won several routes on grass including a stakes. The runner gets his chance to here and could be up to the challenge.

It’s very hard to get excited about this Hardrock Eleven. The Tom Amoss runner handled this gelding easily in his local debut and his dirt route form leaves much to be desired. The place horse in the debut has won twice but his last win was just against state-bred N1X rivals.

Ive Struck a Nerve is a late-running sprinter that cashed on the cut back for the lone win but he has backed up late in the last two outings. Connections had to be high on this guy to try the Futurity in the third start. He had a horrible trip that day from the marooned slot on the tight-turn course.

What can Chad Brown do for you? In Normandy Invasion he can give us a live runner that is coming to this race at the top of his game. Off poorly in his debut, he had to rush up and had nothing left. The maiden breaker was visually impressive and he made a super middle move to go from 8th to right off the lead before just running out of real estate in the Remsen. He has not missed a beat in the a.m. and that best of the morning bullet drill on the 10th was solid.

Visually impressive last time, but the water gets a bit deeper this time for Oxbow. It was a pretty gutsy move to ship West for the Grade 1 and he was hung wide from the marooned slot that day when beaten by the very promising Violence.

Bethel upset in a maiden claimer for the lone score. Connections are running the option play too as runner is also entered today in the 4th here in a $50,000 optional claimer. Colt pressed the very moderate pace in the lone victory and would expect him to be pretty far back this time.

He’s Had Enough is cross-entered in the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream. The trip should be no problem. You could make a case because of the trouble that he was best in the Juvenile and the blood is there for him to thrive going long. His kin Kindergarten Kid won nearly $350,000 on grass and he carried his speed a mile and a half taking the Grade 3 Sycamore.

Hung wide last time but if you figure Circle Unbroken was just short, then you have something to work with here. Backers can point to the fact that this runner’s half sister Florida Wildcat did win routing once.

Departing, a favorite in his horse betting debut, was rushed along and faded but the 2nd and 6th finishers exited the race to win next out. Runner was agile enough to adapt in the debut. He was pretty close early, was in tight and had to drop back and then just ignited. This talented runner is giving away racing experience and in a big field, that could play a factor.

State-bred homebred Sunbeam will need the scratches to be kind but connections have a back-up plan as he is entered in the $60,000 Gentilly on the grass in the third race. This would be his first time in open company and that’s never easy.

Normandy Invasion is the one to beat but let’s go with the speed play Palace Malice. He is bred to run all day and the price should be right.

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