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Rebel Yell

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 3/17/2013 6:48:06 PM

What: Rebel Stakes
Who: Treasury Bill (win)
Where: Oaklawn Park
When: Saturday, March 16

The Grade 2 $600,000 Rebel will be featured at a mile and a sixteenth at Oaklawn Park and don’t be shocked if the winning rider gives his rendition of Billy Idol’s Rebel Yell in the winner’s circle.

A full field will line up and racing luck could play a big part in the outcome.

Eventual Kentucky Derby winners like Sunny’s Halo and Smarty Jones have used this race as a springboard to glory as did two-time Horse of the Year Curlin and last year Bob Baffert’s Secret Circle was coming off a win in his section of the Southwest Stakes before coming from just off the pace to win the Rebel by three quarters of a length with a 92 Beyer.

Super Ninety Nine should be a sports betting handful. This colt’s win over the surface in the Southwest was solid but don’t be oversold by the win margin as it was slop aided. The runner has the pedigree to star. His dam won multiple Grade 1s and banked nearly a million. His sibling Elusive Horizon won a number of stakes going 9 furlongs on way to near $250,000 career. As is his trainer Bob Baffert’s style, the colt has trained fast. He posted a :46 2/5 drill on March 4 which was the best of 44 when the average time was :49.11. He only has run one poor race and he was bothered that day and the winner of that 12/28 race came back to take a $75,000 stakes next out.

Oxbow is stabled here at Oaklawn so he should be comfortable with the surface. He was impressive in the LeComte, but not sure he was beating quality stock. Trainer D. Wayne Lukas always had faith in this guy and when he shipped West for the Grade 1 CashCall he was hung wide from the marooned slot. He has trained fast for this and his best of the morning drill on March 12 was the best by 4 ticks.

Delhomme can run. Cut out to run as a $440,000 purchase last year, this guy was professional in the online horse racing debut despite racing wide. He controlled the pace and the outcome graduating and then proved it was no fluke running well in the Grade 2 Remsen when only beaten three quarters of a length with an improved 98 Beyer Speed Figure. The blood is there for him to thrive as his dam took a stakes and won nearly $250,000. He has much more speed than he flashed in the Remsen and being fit and fresh, don’t be shocked if he is really keen to run early in this race.

Treasury Bill is part of an entry with the speedy Title Contender. He is going long for the first time but trainer Ron Ellis is adept at getting betting sites horses to win going sprint to route. He’s bred to get the trip as his sire won a number of Grade 1s routing and his dam won routing and banked over $200,000. Rates legit look as a lonshot.

When the gates open, look for at least 3 or 4 horses to vie for the lead including Super Ninety Nine. Half way through the stakes, the hot pace will start taking its toll and Treasury Bill will be coming like a taxman in April.

In the last 100 yards, Bill gets up by a half-length with Super Ninety Nine and Oxbow in his wake.

Good luck.

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