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Styles Make Fights

Posted by on 5/13/2014 9:36:48 PM

The Preakness Stakes must feel like an orphan child as often have those kids have a sense of not belonging, they fight to receive attention from anybody and they feel like they are being ignored, which drives their insecurity.

But as online sports betting site players know, the second jewel of the Triple Crown has come out of that phobia in the last few years and has become a true gem.

One thing bettors will likely hear time and time again before this year’s Preakness is that the Pimlico surface in Baltimore is speed conducive and you have to be near the lead to succeed. But that is not always the case.

Kind of like in boxing, styles make fights.

Less than 20% of the winners in the history of the race have taken them flag fall to that’s all so don’t quickly buy into the myth about the sharp turns and the Baltimore highway.

??If one needs more to convince, consider these web gems from the past by some stars in the business including Hall of Famer Gary Stevens before he went on to take the 2001 edition with Point Given.

Stevens: “That’s a fallacy. It’s like an old wives’ tale that Old Hilltop is a speed racetrack. Every year I’ve got to go through the same thing, that Pimlico is a speed track. Basically, the horses run the exact same style at Baltimore as they do in the Kentucky Derby. It’s not a speed-favoring racetrack. It’s a fair racetrack and I think if you get your horse position where it belongs, then you’ve got a shot. But people who go in there with the attitude that it’s a speed racetrack and try and change a horse’s style, they’re making a major mistake???. you’ve got no chance.”

Point Given’s trainer Bob Baffert also chimed in, Baffert: “The only horse I ever saw that got out there and really coasted was Louis Quatorze. Other than that, I’ve never seen it that way.”

The winner this year will likely have the ability to sit within striking distance of the leader, definitely be in the first flight with the a talent to quicken easily, bring some semblance of experience to the party so that he can adjust and overcome adversity if need be and have the innate ability to post a Beyer Speed Figure between 105 and 114.

Last year, Oxbow won the Preakness with a 106 Beyer.

As far as wagering is concerned, it’s not simple to find big value in the Preakness because usually, the leader in the clubhouse has been identified as the Kentucky Derby winner.

In the last 15 years, the average $2 exacta has paid just over $111 and the $1 trifecta during that time span has paid just over $720. If you go deep in the exotics, you can get paid. The average superfecta has paid a bit over $5,000 in the last 15 years.

Concerning post positions, know that the only runner that started from the rail in the Preakness and finished in the exacta was Tabasco Cat, and that was in 1994.

Good luck and enjoy the hidden jewel of the Triple Crown.

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