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Pete’s Picks: Untapable in The Adirondack, Twang in The Saratoga Special

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 8/9/2013 4:48:12 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Untapable, Fiftyshadesofgold, Lunarwarfare, Ogermeister, Candy Dandy, Corfu, Twang, Wired Bryan

What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Adirondack, The Saratoga Special

Where: Saratoga

When: Sunday, August 11th

Some nice two-year-olds will be on display this Sunday at Saratoga in a pair of Grade 2 events. The Adirondack for fillies and The Saratoga Special, open to runners of either sex, have each attracted seven-horse fields. #2-Fiftyshadesofgold (7-5) will be the heavy chalk in The Adirondack, while favoritism in The Saratoga Special could go to #4-Corfu (5-2), #3-Candy Dandy (3-1) or local stakes winner #7-Wired Bryan (7-2). Let’s take a closer look at these baby races below.

#2-Fiftyshadesofgold deserves her favorite’s role in The Adirondack on the strength of a pair of dominant victories to begin her career, the latest of which came in The Debutante at Churchill Downs. She attended a sizzling pace (:21 1/5) that day and drew off with authority, earning the field’s top Beyer Speed Figure (82) in the process. Her bullet breeze at Saratoga last Sunday (:46 1/5) suggests that she retains her sharp form and likes the Spa main oval. Still, I’ll be looking to beat this Texas homebred with the rather obscure pedigree, as her odds will be unappealing. The fashionably-bred #1-Untapable, trained by Steve Asmussen, is my selection. She broke her maiden smartly at Churchill Downs, and came home in a sharp :18 3/5. Her Beyer (75) was solid, and improvement is expected. The extra furlong of The Adirondack should suit this daughter of Tapit out of the classy mare Fun House just fine. Untapable has been working steadily at Saratoga since early July, so she should be fully acclimated to her surroundings. Rosie Napravnik retains the mount. I’ll bet on #1-Untapable to win at odds of 5-2 or better.

The Saratoga Special is a wide-open affair. #1-Lunarwarfare (6-1) ran huge in his Gulfstream Park debut, drawing off by 6 ½ lengths to earn a lofty Beyer fig of 92. He was hustled the entire way, though, and will be stretching out an extra two furlongs. Regular pilot Juan Leyva ships in for this, as does his mount. The quick #2-Ogermeister (12-1) is already a world traveler…but this race has the look of a prep for the Aspirant Stakes for NY-breds at Finger Lakes in September. #3-Candy Dandy (3-1) looked good winning his career debut at Churchill Downs, and would be no surprise. #4-Corfu (5-2) won his career bow locally, but the running line comment “Hard used” is somewhat bothersome. #7-Wired Bryan (7-2), like Fiftyshadesofgold in the filly stake, has won both starts by open lengths, and his latest win came in a stakes race. The NY-bred raced erratically last time, though, and might still be a bit green. I’m taking a shot with #5-Twang (5-1), the Claiborne/Dilschneider homebred trained by Al Stall, who is having a solid meet thus far, as is regular rider Joel Rosario. By Dixie Union out of an Unbridled’s Song mare, this colt is supposed to excel as a juvenile. Like Corfu and Wired Bryan, he too has a win over the track…to my eye, his victory was earned more impressively, with great professionalism and the least expenditure of energy. I’ll bet on #5-Twang to win and place at odds of 4-1 or better.

Those are my

horse racing betting tips

for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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