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Pete’s Picks: Shared Belief in The Cash Call Futurity

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 12/13/2013 5:05:45 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Tamarando, Bond Holder, Tap It Rich, Shared Belief, Poker Player, Kobe’s Back
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Cash Call Futurity
Where: Hollywood Park 
When: Saturday, December 14th

If Saturday’s Grade 1 Cash Call Futurity at Hollywood Park unfolds as expected, the unbeaten Shared Belief should become thoroughbred horse racing’s 2013 Champion Two-Year-Old Male. This youngster has a lot going for him, and his 12 rivals on Saturday will have their work cut out trying to reel him in. Let’s take a closer look at this race below.

We’ll first examine the attributes of #6-Shared Belief (7-2). In his two smashing wins, Shared Belief has rated comfortably and willingly, then blasted home. In the Hollywood Prevue, he ran his final furlong in a swift 11 3/5…now that’s impressive! He may inherit the lead in the Cash Call, as there’s a shortage of genuine speed signed on. #8-Brother Soldier (30-1) tried to match strides with him last out, but backed away on the turn and finished 12 ½ lengths behind. #9-Karma King (12-1) possesses early foot, but the fact that the blinkers come off may indicate a change in tactics. Shared Belief has trained beautifully in the interim, with a pair of bullet 6-furlong breezes attesting to his fitness. By Candy Ride out of a Storm Cat mare, Shared Belief should relish two turns, and his lofty Tomlinson Distance figure of 418 supports that assumption. His Beyer Speed Figure of 99 earned in the Hollywood Prevue towers over the competition, with his closest competitor, #5-Tap It Rich (9-2), at 89 (on dirt). The next-best Beyer in the field on Hollywood Park’s Cushion Track is 86, earned by stablemate #2-Tamarando (4-1) in winning the 2-turn Real Quiet last out. Students of BRIS Past Performances will note that in both of Shared Belief’s races, he earned progressively higher speed figures at each point of call (86, 91, 95 in his debut and 93, 94, 105 in the Prevue)…in other words, he started strong and kept improving his position. Trainer Hollendorfer clicks at 24% on stretch-outs, and jockey Nakatani retains the mount. All systems go!

If you’re looking elsewhere, here are the knocks on the other contenders:

#2-Tamarando (4-1): Grade 1-winning closer may not get the pace he needs to flatter his late run.

#3-Bond Holder (8-1): Fellow Grade 1 winner has yet to visit the winner’s circle in four starts on artificial surfaces, where his top Beyer is 74.

#5-Tap It Rich (9-2): Well-bred Baffert youngster has trained and raced exclusively on dirt…he’s an unknown quantity on Hollywood Park’s Cushion Track.

#10-Poker Player (15-1): He won an “off-the-turf” stakes on Keeneland’s polytrack (the Grade 3 Bourbon). This will be the fifth different track for this well-traveled Wayne Catalano runner.

#13-Kobe’s Back (9-2): He was favored over Shared Belief last out and was coming off a layoff. He should improve with that race under his belt, and enjoys a positive 4-pound weight shift from Shared Belief. Still, Post 13 is no bargain, and his tendency to break slowly doesn’t help in such a large field, where traffic could be an issue.

I’ll bet on #6-Shared Belief to win The Cash Call Futurity at odds of 9-5 or better. I believe he’ll stamp himself as a major player on the Kentucky Derby trail.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!  


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