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Pete’s Picks: Concave in The Delta Downs Princess, Coastline in The Delta Downs Jackpot

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 11/22/2013 8:33:42 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Tepin, Miss Behaviour, Bahnah, Concave, Coastline, Rum Point, Big Bazinga, Rise Up

What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Delta Downs Princess, The Delta Downs Jackpot

Where: Delta Downs

When: Saturday, November 23rd

It’s not often that Delta Downs warrants coverage in this space…but once a year the racing public takes notice...and so does this writer. Saturday’s Delta Downs Princess, for 2YO fillies, carries a purse of $500,000. One race later, The Delta Downs Jackpot, for 2YO’s of either sex, offers a cool $1,000,000 in purse money. Let’s take a closer look at these races below.

In the Princess, top earner #3-Miss Behaviour (2-1) is the likely favorite. She’s won 3-of-4, including the Grade 2 Matron at Belmont Park, and was victimized by a dawdling pace last out, which made it very difficult to reel in the front-running Tea Time. However, you’ll note the declining Beyers, rider change and new venue, all of which make a short price tough to take. #1-Tepin (9-2) is a filly on the improve, but she’s still just a maiden winner (on polytrack no less). #4-Bahnah (3-1) finished first in the prep for this race, but was DQ’d and placed fifth. There’s not much to this pint-sized filly, and she’ll likely face early pressure from #2-Zip On (12-1) and the favorite as well. I’ll take my chances with #6-Concave (7-2), despite her BC Juvenile Fillies debacle. The Grade 2 Sorrento winner will receive Lasix once again for this event, and the expected honest pace should set up her late run. She was sent off at a respectable 13-1 in the 10-horse BC Juvenile Fillies field, so you know she’s got talent. Trainer Doug O’Neill shows confidence in shipping her to the Bayou, so she must be doing well. I’ll bet on #6-Concave to win at odds of 3-1 or better.

Trainer O’Neill also has a Jackpot starter in #5-Rum Point (5-1), but I’m less enthused about his chances. He’s only got a maiden win sprinting (on Del Mar’s polytrack) to his credit, and his speed figures don’t stack up vs. this bunch. #9-Big Bazinga (12-1) jumped up with a game runner-up effort last out in the Grade 3 Grey at Woodbine, and this gelding already has a pair of two-turn races under his belt. He could be dangerous if he takes to the dirt. #10-Rise Up (3-1) ran away from his competition in the local prep for the Jackpot, but there wasn’t much behind him. The tougher competition plus the possibility of a bounce temper my enthusiasm for this Tom Amoss trainee. I will be backing #2-Coastline (5-2). As the distances have gotten longer, his speed figures have risen steadily. Regular rider Shaun Bridgmohan ships in looking for his third straight win aboard this Mark Casse runner. Coastline’s recent works at Churchill Downs indicate he’s plenty sharp and ready for his two-turn debut. I expect him to enjoy a ground-saving trip on or near the lead…he’ll be tough to catch. I’ll bet on #2-Coastline to win at odds of 8-5 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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