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Pete’s Picks: Hot Stones in Bed O’ Roses Handicap

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 6/20/2014 9:51:52 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Five Star Momma, Flattering Bea, Ultimate Shopper, Hot Stones, Merry Meadow, Street Girl, Lion D N A

What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Bed O’ Roses Handicap

Where: Belmont Park

When: Saturday, June 21st

The Grade 3 Bed O’ Roses Handicap on Saturday at Belmont Park is a puzzler for handicappers. Of the eleven horses entered, a case can be made for more than half of them. Demand value, because all of the contenders have their pros and cons. Let’s take a closer look at the race below.

There should be a lively pace, with #2-Five Star Momma (5-1), #3-Flattering Bea (10-1), #4-Ultimate Shopper (12-1), #7-Calistoga (12-1) and #11-Lion D N A (6-1) all capable of leading or pressing in the early going. Drawn toward the inside, Five Star Momma will probably have to come out running, as that was the key to her 3-race winning streak last fall. Flattering Bea earned a lifetime-best Beyer Speed Figure of 93 last out when second to Lion D N A in The Skipat at Pimlico. Prior to that she won the $200K Sugar Maple at Charles Town, so she’s in career form for her Belmont Park debut. Ultimate Shopper has had the lead at the first call in all four career starts, and she’s 2-for-2 locally and at the distance. This will be her initial foray into the stakes ranks, so she’ll get tested for class. Calistoga was a front runner early in her career, but won her latest start with a stalking trip. The 97 Beyer she earned in her career bow would make her dangerous in here, but she hasn’t come close to that figure since. Of those with speed, Lion D N A appears to be in the best position. She’s equally effective as a stalker, and with her outside draw, she’ll have options. She’s a multiple stakes winner, but wasn’t a factor vs. La Verdad in the Grade 2 Distaff Handicap at Aqueduct in April.

#8-Merry Meadow (4-1) finally cracked 90 on the Beyer scale in winning the Grade 3 Vagrancy last out, but note that trainer Mark Hennig thinks 7 furlongs might be at the absolute limits of her distance capability. She’s done her best work going 6 and 6 ½ furlongs. #10-Street Girl (7-2) doesn’t win much (17-2-3-3) but she keeps top company and finished a solid second behind the classy Midnight Lucky in the Grade 1 Humana Distaff at Churchill Downs most recently. She has trained well since then and had a local main track breeze last Sunday to get her ready for her first try at ‘Big Sandy’. #5-Hot Stones (8-1) looks like a solid upset candidate. She came within a half-length of the highly-regarded La Verdad going a mile locally last month, earning a solid 92 Beyer in the process, and cleared her N2X condition vs. open company two back. She likes the Belmont Park main track (3-1-2-0), sheds 6 pounds off her latest effort, continues to train well, and will be reunited with winning rider Irad Ortiz. She’ll have a hot pace to close into, and will offer value. Blinkers will be added as well. There’s lots to like here. I’ll bet on #5-Hot Stones across the board (win/place/show) at odds of 6-1 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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