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Pete’s Pick: Cool Cowboy in The Pasco

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 1/3/2014 5:15:26 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Cool Cowboy, Three Quarter Roy, Early Entry, Harry’s Holiday, Giancarlo, Mighty Brown
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Pasco
Where: Tampa Bay Downs
When: Saturday, January 4th

The Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday is the second in a series of four main-track stakes for three-year-olds, culminating in The Tampa Bay Derby. The Inaugural was a six-furlong event, The Pasco seven furlongs, and The Sam F. Davis and Tampa Bay Derby are both two-turn tests at mile-and-a sixteenth. The status of the two morning-line favorites is in doubt, as #1-Cool Cowboy (5-2) and #6-Giancarlo (3-1) are cross-entered in The Spectacular Bid at Gulfstream Park the same day. Let’s take a closer look at the main players below.

#1-Cool Cowboy (5-2) will be tough to catch if he breaks well from the rail. Horses that have worked, and more importantly, raced over the quirky Tampa Bay Downs main track have a distinct advantage over horses shipping in. Cool Cowboy won his local debut last out with speed to spare, despite breaking last in the field of eight. Since then, he worked a bullet five furlongs, indicating he maintains his sharp edge. He’s been favored in all five starts at odds of 9-5 or lower, and should once again be the chalk, despite the presence of some promising invaders. He’s my pick if his connections opt for this spot.

#2-Three Quarter Roy (6-1) took a major step forward last out, breaking his maiden over Gulfstream Park’s sloppy main track and earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 84 in the process. That figure makes him competitive here, but this will be his first start away from his Gulfstream Park base, and first try vs. winners.

#4-Early Entry (6-1) was no match for Cool Cowboy in The Inaugural, but kept plugging away to get second. He’s worth a look if ‘Cowboy scratches here.

#5-Harry’s Holiday (5-1) was snapped up for $30,000 in his career debut vs. maiden claimers at Churchill Downs, and may prove to be a nice investment. The Mike Maker trainee beat winners last out at Gulfstream, and his Beyers are on the rise. His runner-up effort to Ichiban Warrior two back was certainly no disgrace, as that Pletcher trainee is well thought of. A move forward will make him competitive.

#6-Giancarlo (3-1) romped vs. maidens at Calder Race Course last out, earning a monster Beyer of 98! He’ll get plenty of support at the windows if he goes here, but there are questions. You’ll note that he was defeated in his career debut by a more experienced Early Entry, and that horse was no match for Cool Cowboy in The Inaugural. Also, he’ll be facing winners for the first time in unfamiliar surroundings over a different type of dirt surface. The well-bred son of Tapit out of an Honour and Glory mare could be this good, but demand value.

#8-Mighty Brown (4-1) is the field’s top earner ($98,590) and like Cool Cowboy, owns a win over the track, in which earned a respectable Beyer of 80. That came against maidens, but he also owns stakes placings on both dirt and turf on the Louisiana circuit. He’s definitely worth using in the exotics.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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