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Pete Mitchell Closes September on a Roll!

Posted by BetOnline Staff on 10/1/2012 5:40:17 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds ??? Dust and Diamonds, Royal Delta, Flat Out
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips ??? The Gallant Bloom Handicap, The Beldame Invitational, The Jockey Club Gold Cup Invitational
Where: Belmont Park
When: September 22nd, September 29th

Pete Mitchell nailed the winners of three major stakes races in late September???The Gallant Bloom, The Beldame and The Jockey Club Gold Cup!

Check out these payoffs:

The Gallant Bloom Handicap ??? Dust and Diamonds?????? $19.60 $9.40 $5.50
The Beldame Invitational ??? Royal Delta???????????????????????????????????????????????? $3.70 $2.20 $2.10 $2 Exacta 3-6?????? $5.10
The Jockey Club Gold Cup Invitational ??? Flat Out?????????????? $9.30 $5.60 $4.00

Here's what Pete wrote on our website the day before these races:

The Gallant Bloom Handicap

The Grade 2 Gallant Bloom Handicap at Belmont Park, on the other hand, appears ripe for an upset by the Steve Asmussen-trained Dust and Diamonds at juicy morning-line odds of 12-1. Find out more below.

#10-Turbulent Descent (9-5) has been favored in every start of her 12-race career, and that will more than likely hold true for the Gallant Bloom. She???s the only member of the field to crack the 100-mark on the Beyer scale (twice), and is in sharp form. She???ll get an honest pace to set up her late charge. Still, she lost her only start at Belmont Park, albeit in the slop, and may have to take the overland route in this field of ten. #9-Musical Romance (5-2) got the better of her in The Breeders??? Cup Filly and Mare Sprint and reports from the Musical Romance camp are very positive. However, that mare can???t seem to put wins back-to-back, so I???ll look elsewhere for value. To me, the value rests with the talented and well-bred #3-Dust and Diamonds (12-1). She???s fast, and benefits from being drawn outside the other speed horse, #1-Roman Treasure (20-1). Her win last out in the Dashing Beauty at Delaware Park was the best of her career. She drew out with ease to win by nearly 6 lengths, and ran straight as a string through the stretch, completing her final furlong in :12 flat. She???s dropping 9 pounds off that effort (123 to 114), and could be long gone here. I???ll bet on Dust and Diamonds across the board at odds of 8-1 or better.

The Beldame Invitational

If #3-Royal Delta (1-1) is at her best, she???ll be very tough to deny in the Beldame. #6-It???s Tricky (7-5) is a top-class filly in her own right, and you???ll note she???s a perfect 2-for-2 at Belmont Park (both Grade 1???s). However, these two have met four times, with Royal Delta owning a 3-1 edge, including an emphatic score in last year???s Breeders??? Cup Ladies??? Classic at Churchill Downs. Royal Delta has been training as if she???s ready for a top effort. Her best will be good enough. I???ll take Royal Delta to win at odds of 3-5 or better, and also a straight 3-6 exacta, Royal Delta over It???s Tricky.

The Jockey Club Gold Cup Invitational

The Jockey Club Gold Cup is an incredibly contentious event, with all but #10 Game Ball (50-1) looking like they have at least a shot at top honors. #1-Ron the Greek (5-2) has been first or second since Bill Mott took over the training chores eight races back. Included are a pair of Grade 1 wins earlier this year. He figures to be right there at the finish. The connections of #4-Hymn Book (5-1) are pointing for this race, so the hard-hitting 6-year-old gelding should be at his absolute best over a surface he relishes (4-2-2-0). #5-Fort Larned (7-2) is finally figuring things out, and might have the most upside of this bunch. I???m leaning toward #9-Flat Out (3-1), who???s a perfect 2-for-2 at Belmont Park, including last year???s edition of this race. This will be the third start of his form cycle, and it will be interesting to see how he gets along with the ultra-talented Joel Rosario, who will be aboard for the first time in the afternoon. I???ll bet on #9-Flat Out to win at odds of 5-2 or better.

Stick with a winner! Check out Pete Mitchell???s articles every Friday in the Betting Edge section of BetOnline.ag for Free Picks and Analysis.

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