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Pacific Ocean, Cease Look Live in Forego, Woodward

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 8/31/2012 5:20:50 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Shackleford, Pacific Ocean, Emcee, Mucho Macho Man, To Honor and Serve, Cease
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Forego, The Woodward
Where: Saratoga
When: Saturday, September 1st

With questions surrounding probable favorites Shackleford and Mucho Macho Man in the Forego and Woodward respectively, perhaps the door is open for the likes of Pacific Ocean and Cease to step forward. Let’s analyze their chances below.

Multiple Grade 1 winner #2-Shackleford (2-1) exits a no-show performance in the A. G. Vanderbilt last out, but that race may be a toss-out due to the muddy track. You’ll note that Shackleford has failed to hit the board in three tries over surfaces labeled sloppy, good and muddy. Perhaps more bothersome, however, is his fade in last year’s Travers at odds of 7-2. His record at the Spa is 2-0-0-0. Maybe he just doesn’t like it here. That’s certainly not the case with #5-Pacific Ocean (4-1), who led gate-to-wire last out to capture the Grade 3 James Marvin, defeating 4-5 chalk and multiple-Grade 1 winner #4-Jackson Bend (7-2). The talented #6-Emcee (9-2) may be the “wise guy” horse, and should enjoy a perfect stalking trip just outside the aforementioned Pacific Ocean. Still, Emcee has yet to win a stakes, and may find it more difficult than most expect to get past the speedy Rick Dutrow trainee. I’ll bet on #5-Pacific Ocean to win the Forego at odds of 7-2 or better.

The next race on the Saratoga card is the 59th Running of the Woodward. #3-Mucho Macho Man is the 8-5 morning line favorite, followed closely by #6-To Honor and Serve at 2-1. Mucho Macho Man has grown into his tall frame as a 4YO, and has rattled of three triple-digit Beyer stakes scores from four starts. If he’s able to duplicate his Grade 2 Suburban Handicap performance, he’ll be tough to handle. However, that last work on August 26th was on the slow side, unlike his brilliant a.m. spin just prior to the Suburban, and his only start here as a 2YO resulted in a third-place finish. #6-To Honor and Serve came up empty in the Suburban, and will be reunited with jockey John Velazquez. He’s a very nice horse, but it seems as if he does his best only when everything goes his way. I can’t recall him ever winning despite a difficult trip. I’m intrigued by #7-Cease (10-1). The 5YO gelding seems a cut below these on paper, with just a single non-graded stakes score to his credit. Still, he’s loves it at the Spa (3-for-3) and boasts a record of 6-4-1-0 at the distance. He’s in sharp form, and is in excellent hands with the trainer/jockey combo of Stall/Rosario. There’s plenty of speed to flatter Cease’s closing style, and he should be able to avoid traffic from his outside post. This horse has been a bit of an underachiever…perhaps he’ll shed that label on Saturday. I’ll bet on #7-Cease across the board at odds of 8-1 or better. I’m also going to key Pacific Ocean and Cease in the Race 9-10 Double. The Double combinations look like this: 5/3,6,7 and 2,5,6/7. If either selection wins, we’ll turn a profit. If both win…look out!

Those are my horse racing betting tips for the weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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