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LeComte Stakes Betting - LeComte Stakes

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 1/17/2013 5:46:11 PM

What: LeComte Stakes
Who:  Fear the Kitten (key top and bottom in trifecta with Oxbow, Avie’s Quality, Circle Unbroken, Golden Soul and Malibu High)
Where: Fair Grounds
When: Saturday, January 19

Sophomores with designs on a Triple Crown run can start their engines Saturday in the Grade 2 $200,000 LeComte Stakes at Fair Grounds and online sports betting players can get a glimpse at some possible future stars.

Malibu High opened his education with a professional win at 9-1 and got an A plus here as the chalk handling the off going in clever style. His sire Malibu Moon took one sprint, was never send long and this dam was sprint only. This is her first to race.

Would expect rider M. Mena to be aggressive and send hard but there are others with designs on the lead.

Heitai figures to show more speed on the stretch out today. This is his first foray outside of state-bred land and that is something that has to be addressed. This talented Louisiana-bred has had a tendency to get late and now has to go the farthest in his career. It could be too much for him at this point.

There is a ‘Fear the Beard’ campaign in some parts but in this case it’s a case of Fear the Kitten.

Respect this returnee. The winner of this race last year Mr. Bowling was coming off an 11-week layoff after running third in a Grade 3 at Churchill but he sat 6th of 13 early on before getting up by a head with an 82 Beyer. This runner has some huge upside to him.

Oxbow is a D. Wayne Lukas charge that was not disgraced in the Grade 1 out West as he got beat by a runner that is now tabbed as the Kentucky Derby Future Book chalk at 12-1 at Wynn. Lukas is 0 for 4 the last 5 years with synthetic to dirt runners in a G3 stakes but one ran 2nd at 7-1. Rider Jon Court has had success for this outfit and you can never dismiss stock from a Hall of Fame conditioner. 

Hawaakom was educated in the debut, love the way he closed into slow splits to win going away in the local horse betting debut. He has a right to have a very nice career as kin Snaafy took a Group 3 on way to a near $550,000 winning career. Fit enough to drill a couple of times since the victory and note the place horse was nearly 3 clear last time.

Avie’s Quality has to prove he can handle this kind of surface but there is a precedent for success. Trainer Josie Carroll is 3 for 9 in the last 5 years going synthetic to dirt in a Graded stakes with a median payoff of over $13 and 2 others ran second. The Beyers are going in the right direction, he brings the top last-race figure to the party and the Display place horse was 4 clear.

Golden Soul showed grit in his debut when he rallied furiously between horses to just miss. That’s a good sign and he proved he was for real extending under steady urging. This runner could be the kind that just starts getting better and better and the blood is there. He is kin to Lexington winner and over $300,000 earner Quintons Gold Rush.

Circle Unbroken burst on the scene with an 11-1 shocker and he has not stopped yet. He ran too good to lose at Mountaineer when 7 lengths clear of a runner that won next out in a $75,000 Presque Isle stakes. Sire Broken Vow won Graded stakes routing and the dam won several stakes sprinting but was third in best route moment. Backers can point to the fact that half sister Florida Wildcat did win routing once.

I’ve Struck a Nerve was tried in a Futurity in the third start. He has a horrible trip that day from the marooned slot on the tight-turn course. The post could be a problem and note he lost ground in the lane in the two routes and now goes long. There may be too many obstacles.

When the gates are sprung, look for Fear the Kitten to save ground early, blow buy them all late. Key him first and second in the trifecta with Oxbow, Avie’s Quality, Circle Unbroken, Golden Soul and Malibu High.

Good luck with your online betting.

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