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It’s an Abstraction – Take Charge Indy Double

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 6/14/2013 7:37:56 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Sunbean, Uncaptured, Code West, Abstraction, Bellarmine, Fort Larned, Ron the Greek, Take Charge Indy, Successful Dan
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Matt Winn, The Stephen Foster Handicap
Where: Churchill Downs
When: Saturday, June 15th

Saturday’s card at Churchill Downs is loaded with graded stakes races, headlined by the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap. If champ Royal Delta is anywhere close to her best form, she should run away with the Grade 2 Fleur de Lis Handicap…so we’ll skip any further analysis of that race and focus on the Grade 3 Matt Winn, followed by the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap. In fact, we’ll try to hit the Winn/Foster Double.

The Matt Winn looks like a highly contentious affair, with the top six contenders posting career-best dirt Beyers of between 84 and 94. #2-Sunbean (6-1) has had excuses in his last pair, but could be a major player if he runs back to his Gentilly win vs. La-breds. #3-Uncaptured (6-1) is 2-for-2 at Churchill Downs, both stakes, both as a juvenile. He has a pair of seconds in three stakes starts on poly as a 3YO, but could make some noise in his return to Churchill. #5-Code West (4-1) owns the top dirt Beyer (94 twice) and comes off an entry-level allowance score at Pimlico as the 3-10 chalk. He’ll get plenty of support at the windows. #6-Treasury Bill (6-1) finished second in the Grade 2 San Vicente, and has recently changed trainers from Ron Ellis to Wayne Catalano. #10-Bellarmine (9-2) edged odds-on favorite Code West by a neck on Kentucky Derby Day, and fits well here. #7-Abstraction (9-2) is the one I like. He broke his maiden impressively stretching out in his second career start, then won the Federico Tesio with a late burst last out at Pimlico. His works at Churchill have been sharp and like clockwork…every seven days. He’s a well-bred colt with a very bright future. I’ll bet on #7-Abstraction to win and place, and single him in the Winn/Foster Double with #4-Take Charge Indy (and possibly others).

The Stephen Foster Handicap attracted only six runners, but this group is highly accomplished…four are millionaires. The question may be…who’s in the best form. Breeders’ Cup Classic winner #2-Fort Larned (3-1) is a monster when right, but that dull 5th last out in The Oaklawn Handicap casts doubt on his chances. #3-Ron the Greek (3-1) rarely runs a bad race, and is the defending champ. He can be counted on to make a late run. #5-Pool Play (15-1) won this race in 2011 (in his first dirt start), but has won only once since. #6-Successful Dan (2-1) has hit the board in 11-of-12 lifetime starts, with eight wins. He’s finished first in all four starts at Churchill Downs, but was DQ’d once and placed third. He figures to be right there at the finish. I’ll take #4-Take Charge Indy (5-2) to win. He’s an improving four-year-old who is already a Grade 1 winner, and is in career form, coming off a 6-length score in the Grade 2 Alysheba here last month. His bullet work on June 8th signals his readiness for this stern test. I’ll bet on #4-Take Charge Indy to win, and use him to close out the Winn/Foster Double.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!
  


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