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Incognito Will be Revealed in Peter Pan

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 5/10/2013 6:01:46 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Freedom Child, Battier, Abraham, Saint Vigeur, Declan’s Warrior, Incognito, Infinite Magic
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Peter Pan
Where: Belmont Park
When: Saturday, May 11th

The Peter Pan at Belmont Park this Saturday is a mystery wrapped in an enigma for handicappers. What better-named horse than Incognito to solve the Peter Pan puzzle. Let’s take a closer look at the Peter Pan contenders (and there are many) below.

#1-Freedom Child (12-1): This guy was moving in the right direction heading into the Wood Memorial last out, but lost all chance when judged to be in the hands of the assistant starter when the gates opened. He could show the way in a race lacking a confirmed front runner.

#3-Battier (8-1): With a record of 6-4-2-0, it’s obvious that Battier fires every time. He’ll make his first start for Team Pletcher, with Joel Rosario getting the mount. His Beyer Speed Figures have gone up in every start…another forward move would make him a major player.

#5-Abraham (7-2): The other Pletcher horse endured a rough trip last out in The Illinois Derby, but still managed to finish 4th in a field of 14. His Beyers are also on the rise, but his top connections assure an unappealing price. Note he broke his maiden in the slop at Gulfstream Park, so a wet track on Saturday (which seems likely) should help his cause.

#7-Saint Vigeur (6-1): He’s 2-for-2 with blinkers on, and one of those wins came in the mud at Aqueduct. Trainer Chad Brown thinks this horse is Belmont Stakes material, and this is his prep.

#8-Declan’s Warrior (4-1): Zito trainee earned the field’s top Beyer (97) last out in winning the Grade 3 Bay Shore at The Big A. While this is a one-turn race, Declan’s Warrior has yet to go beyond 7 ½ furlongs, let alone this 1 1/8th-mile distance. This has the look of an experiment.

#10-Incognito (5-1): This Darley homebred should improve with more distance, and won last out on an off track, beating older horses. Incognito has turned in a pair of snappy works in the interim, and seems poised for a big effort. The trainer/jockey combo of McLaughlin/Luzzi has clicked for 23% winners and a $2.19 ROI in 2012-13.

#11-Infinite Magic (12-1): Team Valor parted ways with Graham Motion, so Bob Ribaudo takes over the training chores for this promising runner. Winner of his last pair by noses, he’ll make his dirt debut on Saturday. If he takes to the stuff, he could be a threat in the late going.

I’ll bet on #10-Incognito to win and place at odd of 9-2 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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