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Incognito Unveiled (Part 2)

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 6/7/2013 12:37:55 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Freedom Child, Overanalyze, Orb, Incognito, Oxbow, Revolutionary, Will Take Charge, Palace Malice, Unlimited Budget, Golden Soul
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Belmont Stakes
Where: Belmont Park
When: Saturday, June 8th

A field of 14 will be venturing into uncharted territory on Saturday when they line up for the 145th Running of The Belmont Stakes. None have attempted the demanding 1 ½-mile journey, and most never will again. In what is known as a jockey’s race, local riders familiar with the massive Belmont Park main oval may have an edge. So too, may horses with stout bloodlines. Let’s take a closer look at the Belmont Stakes field below (See Part 1 for Horses 1-6).

#7-Oxbow (5-1): He’s a nice horse, and is bred to handle the Belmont Stakes distance. There are several concerns, however. First, he had a dream trip in The Preakness…it can only go downhill from there. Second, he’s unfamiliar with the Belmont Park oval. Third, if he’s bent on getting the lead again, he’ll have company. Fourth, this guy hasn’t had a break since mid-October. Lots of obstacles here…

#8-Midnight Taboo (30-1): Second Pletcher runner is very light on experience. He’s got the breeding, and has attracted the services of Garrett Gomez, so there’s a ray of hope. Might be a nice one down the road if this race doesn’t take too much out of him.

#9-Revolutionary (9-2): Most favored of the five Pletcher starters have never run a bad race, hitting the board in all seven trips postward. He’s talented, gritty, and just keeps on coming. Skipping the Preakness should make him a fresher horse than both Orb and Oxbow, and he’ll be reunited with Javier Castellano, who is 2-for-2 with this mount. I’m expecting Revolutionary to hit the board, but am not sold on him for the top slot, especially at a fairly short price.

#10-Will Take Charge (20-1)
: Big horse (17+ hands) should love the Belmont oval. He hasn’t had much racing luck in his last two starts, but with a clean trip, he could make some noise in the late going. He doesn’t have to come from out of it either…a mid-pack journey would be ideal.

#11-Vyjack (20-1)
: I don’t know what to make of this Rudy Rodriguez trainee after his misadventure in the KY Derby. Maybe he’s just an Aqueduct horse. Jockey Julien Leparoux takes a shot with him this time. Looking elsewhere…  

#12-Palace Malice (15-1)
: The shades come off after the failed KY Derby experiment, so ‘Malice should relax better this time. He raced well at Belmont in his career debut, so the surface shouldn’t be a hindrance. Jockey Mike Smith gets another crack with this guy, who has come close in a couple of graded events. The mile-and-a-half should be within his scope as well. Lots to like about the fourth Pletcher runner, especially the price.

#13-Unlimited Budget (8-1)
: She’s a really nice filly, and plenty big enough to tangle with the boys. Rosie Napravnik was aboard for her win in the Rachel Alexandra at Fair Grounds, and has done well when teamed up with Pletcher horses. I’m not convinced, however, that this filly wants to go this far, even with the five-pound break in the weights. Hard to gauge.

#14-Golden Soul (10-1)
: Fipke homebred crashed the KY Derby exacta at odds of 34-1, and passed the Preakness to get ready for this third jewel of the Triple Crown. Jockey Robby Albarado is seeking redemption in this race after dealing with personal troubles and the loss of business that ensued. This horse can run, and is bred for the distance. If Albarado can work out a trip from Post 14, Golden Soul could be golden.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for the Belmont Stakes. Best of luck and happy gambling! 

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