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YOU DA MAN

Posted by on 7/10/2013 6:52:11 PM

Several quality older horses will try to join some legends this Saturday when the gather for the $600,000 Grade 1 Man o’War Stakes at Belmont Park at a mile and 3/8ths on grass. Here’s a look at the race for betting purposes.

What: Man o’War Stakes
Who: Speaking of Witch (win)
Where: Belmont Park
When: Saturday, July 13

Fort Marcy won this race in 1970 and three years arguably the greatest horse of all time Secretariat visited the winner’s circle after this event.

Great sire Theatrical succeeded here and last year Point of Entry was coming off a Grade 2 win at Keeneland before he got an ideal 2-hole trip to win this fixture going away with a 98 Beyer Speed Figure.

Optimizer doesn’t duck anybody. He’s faced Wise Dan, Skyring and some other quality runners. He has the ability to use his natural speed but he doesn’t need the lead to win.

Folk Singer is ambitiously placed as she just failed for a $25,000 claiming tag. He never has been in a stakes.

Al Khali is coming off a layoff but he has repeatedly won off the vacation in his career. He was a tough beat neck loser in a Grade 1 to end 2012 and is only one for 3 this year. The win came against an allowance group at Tampa.

Boisterous has been expertly managed and his stablemate, Point of Entry, won this race last year. Two races back despite a pedestrian pace on the Polytrack, this runner kept coming and was only beaten a length while over 6 lengths clear of the third horse.

He won in a very professional manner in the Grade 2 Monmouth just over a month ago and is coming to the race at the top of his game. His trainer is on record as saying the runner has done ‘real well’ since the last out.

Finnegans Wake could not beat optional claimers two back. He never threatened in the stakes last time and needs, sorry, a wake-up call.

Bombaguia has only won three times in his career but you can draw a line through his last race, as he hated the yielding course. The horse this guy beat a length two races back won next out in a state-bred stakes, then took the Grade 3 Poker 9 days ago with a 103 Beyer.

Twilight Eclipse needed the last race badly and he may have hated the course but he did win in a similar circumstance in March. That day he was coming off a race he had to need and then won the Grade 2 Pan American at Gulfstream with a 100 Beyer.

Exclusive Strike has been facing much easier competition. He was third in his last stakes try and that was not even a Graded race.

Speaking Of Which ran second in his stateside debut but the winner that day flattered him by winning the Grade 2 Hollywood Turf Cup to end 2012.

The runner got a nice confidence builder last time at Monmouth after running poorly in the Ft. Marcy and could excel here. His trainer, Christophe Clement, is high on him, Clement: “ I ran him in the Fort Marcy and I made a big mistake. He should have gone farther. They went very quick and he was just one paced. He was not tight enough. Last race was a perfect race, mentally, for him and he came back in very good order. He had one easy work and he looked great last weekend.”

Boisterous is the one to beat but we are going to make a case for Speaking Of Which.

It takes a big man to admit a mistake but that is what Clement did and this runner has a super stalk and pounce style. Speaking of Which to win.eI¢ mLp¢ ¢` San Francisco has lost its last six games that Lincecum has started, and while Edinson Volquez hasn’t been that much better for the Padres, he has allowed three runs or fewer in five of his last six starts.

MLB Betting Pick: San Diego Padres - 150

San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

Sunday, 4:10 PM ET

These NL West rivals will wrap up their series with a matinee date on Sunday, with San Diego sending Eric Stults to the mound to close it out. Stults is coming off one of his best starts of the season after allowing just one earned run while going the distance in a win over the Colorado Rockies, and will look to build on that success against another division opponent. Barry Zito has not won since late May, a string of seven-straight starts over which San Francisco has gone 1-6. The Giants have been incredibly inconsistent all year, so following up back-to-back wins with consecutive losses actually makes a lot of sense.

MLB Betting Pick: San Diego Padres - 140


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