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Early Breeders’ Cup Observations

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 10/25/2013 6:28:26 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Worldly, Bobby’s Kitten, Goldencents, My Conquistadory, Beholder,
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Breeders’ Cup
Where: Santa Anita
When: Friday and Saturday, November 1st and 2nd

With the Breeders’ Cup a week away, there are precious few horses that look like Pick-6 singles, and as usual, a slew of live longshots. Of course, we’ll have to consider final works, appearance, price, track conditions, post position, scratches, race shape, etc., before making any final decisions. Here’s who I like at this point in time, and why:

Friday, November 1st

Worldly (Marathon): He hasn’t won since May, 2011, but the son of A.P. Indy out of Kentucky Oaks runner-up Urbane looks like the type that will relish the Marathon distance. He’s in good form, having hit the board recently vs. the likes of Fort Larned, Prayer for Relief and Golden Ticket. He’ll have an honest pace to close into. Worth a look at 4-1.

Bobby’s Kitten (Juvenile Turf): Powered home in his stakes debut. Another in an endless line of Ramsey “Kittens” that excel on turf. Likely (and deserving) favorite.

Goldencents (Dirt Mile): He’s run his best races at Santa Anita going both short and long. He’s in career form and the 2-turn mile should be right in his wheelhouse. 3-1 would be fair.

My Conquestadory (Juvenile Fillies Turf): Connections are ecstatic about this filly…and they should be. Her career debut on turf was smashing, and she followed that up with a Grade 1 score on Keeneland’s polytrack. The real deal.

Beholder
(Distaff): Talented but quirky filly is becoming more and more professional under the expert tutelage of Dick Mandella. Royal Delta will be tough to deny if she brings her “A” game, but she’s tossed in some clunkers this year. Beholder will be on the lead, and may not look back.

Saturday, November 2nd

The Fugue (Filly and Mare Turf): Nightmare trip cost her the win in last year’s event. She’s even better this year, and will be extremely tough to deny. The Turf vs. males is her first choice, however, and she can beat them too.

Teddy’s Promise (Filly and Mare Sprint): Mare is in career form and loves the Santa Anita main oval. Last year’s romping winner, Groupie Doll, doesn’t appear to be the same horse. Very appealing in the 10-1 range.

Wise Dan (Mile): Don’t be fooled by his recent second-place finish on Keeneland’s polytrack…he’s still the horse to beat on the Santa Anita sod.

Mucho Macho Man (Classic): He finished a close second to Fort Larned in last year’s Classic and romped in his local prep. This tall, long-striding horse will get a perfect pace setup in this affair, which is loaded with front-running types. Stevens fits him like a glove. Mows ‘em down from the second flight.

Those are my early Breeders’ Cup thoughts. I’ll have final comments around the middle of next week. Best of luck and happy gambling!   


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