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Departing Can Run All Day

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 5/17/2013 4:40:19 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Orb, Goldencents, Departing, Mylute, Itsmyluckyday
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Preakness
Where: Pimlico
When: Saturday, May 18th

The 138th Running of The Preakness looks like Orb’s to lose. He’s won five straight, improves with every race, came out of the Kentucky Derby in great shape, has tremendous connections…but are you ready to take 4-5? Let’s take a closer look at all the Preakness runners below.

#1-Orb (1-1): This horse is hard to fault at the present time. Perhaps the only chink in the armor is his inside post position (which wouldn’t have been Shug’s first, second, or even third choice). Still, there’s only nine entered, so you would expect jockey Rosario to find room to maneuver at some point. I can’t bring myself to take a short price, though, given the two-week turnaround, unfamiliar surroundings, and likelihood that several KY Derby rivals should turn in markedly improved performances. I’ll be using him in exotics, but will look for an upsetter.

#2-Goldencents (8-1): The Derby was a toss out for this O’Neill runner. The pace was suicidal, the surface was not to his liking, and the jockey wrapped up on him early. That may prove to have been a great decision, as this horse can be plenty dangerous on or near the lead if the fractions are reasonable. Saving this guy to fight another day could make him very tough on Saturday.

#3-Titletown Five (30-1): The Lukas/Hornung hype-horse has at least one thing going for him…he finished in front of Orb last summer at Saratoga. He’s bred to go long but has a tendency to weaken. It will be interesting to see if he challenges Goldencents early. I’m not buying the hype, though…even at 30-1.

#4-Departing (6-1): Anyone who reads this column knows that I’ve been high on this horse from the beginning. The Louisiana Derby toughened him up, and the Illinois Derby showed that he can run all day. Note that he earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 97 going long in just his third career start…a higher fig than anyone in the field earned at that early stage of their career. That shows the talent is there. His connections have been pointing for this race all along…very dangerous if he gets the jump on Orb and Mylute. I’ll bet on Departing across the board (Win, Place and Show) at odds of 9-2 or better.

#5-Mylute (5-1): Amoss trainee ran very well in his last pair, and his 3YO Beyers (88, 93, 99) are headed in the right direction. You’ll see that he got the better of Departing in the Louisiana Derby, but Departing was spotting him plenty of experience in that affair. I’m looking for a fresh Departing to turn the tables on Saturday.

#6-Oxbow (15-1) and #7-Will Take Charge (12-1): I can’t separate these Lukas runners, and I can’t see them winning this race either. They’re just…ok. Maybe one of them will crack the top three.

#8-Govenor Charlie (12-1): The typical Baffert fast works are on display. This horse has ability, but I’m steering clear, given his lack of experience, recent minor physical issues, and 8-week break since the Sunland Derby romp. Pass.

#9-Itsmyluckyday (10-1): It certainly wasn’t his lucky day in the Derby. He had the same issues as Goldencents, so I’m considering that race a toss out for him too. When this horse is right, he’s very good. His winning Beyer (104) in The Holy Bull is right there with the favorite. A fast track and a reasonable pace could be just what the doctor ordered for Itsmyluckyday. I’m expecting him to be right there at the top of the stretch, and prove tough to run down.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for The Preakness. Best of luck and happy gambling!

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