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TURF MARATHONERS

Posted by on 10/2/2013 11:17:59 PM

The best long distance turf runners in the world will converge at Santa Anita on November 2 for the $3 million Breeders’ Cup Turf at a mile and a half and those online sports betting site players that are patient could be rewarded big time.

Let’s take an early look at some of the players that could show up in the Turf and some of the trends that have been there for all to see in this race over the years.

This year John Gosden will likely be represented by The Fugue, who earned a berth into the Turf by cashing in the “Win and You’re In” Irish Champions Stakes at Leopardstown.

The Fugue could tune up for the Turf by racing in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp in Paris on October 6. The Fugue has won 5 of 12 in her career and has earned over $1.6 million.

Comfortable at this demanding distance, The Fugue was beaten a neck at this journey in a Group 1 last year and in August beat 6 rivals at a mile and a half in a Group 1 at York.

The Americans that may line up in this race include the first three finishers in the Bowling Green Handicap, Hyper, Finnegans Wake and Boisterous.

The first two finishers in the Turf last year, Little Mike and Point of Entry have not had stellar seasons so far but could very well match skills in the Turf once again this year.

Point of Entry got hurt on June 8 when he fractured a cannon bone in his hind leg but he is now back in training and has been galloping a mile and a half just about every day. In the good hands of Kentucky Derby winning trainer Shug McGaughey, Point of Entry figures to be fit when he lines up for the Turf.

Little Mile is all about speed but he has not been able to carry his speed successfully this year.

His first two races of the year were defeats in Dubai and he set the pace and faded in his next two efforts, the United Nations and the Arlington Million.

When he won the Turf last year, Mike relaxed a bit off the pace sitting third early before storming home with a solid 105 Beyer Speed Figure. He will need to pick it up to repeat in the Turf this year.

It is no surprise that Europeans have dominated the Turf over the decades. Twenty times a horse bred or imported from across the pond has finished first in the Turf.

In the last 12 years, Europeans have won or dead-heated in the Turf including 4 of the last 5 years.

American-based horses have finished one-two in this race only twice since 2004.

In the 6 Turf renewals at Santa Anita, Euros have won 3 times, Californians have won 2 times and Eastern-based runners also 2 times.

Favorites have won this race 32% of the time and have been in the money nearly 60% of the time. Going into last year, the average winning price was just over $21 but Little Mike blew that number out of the water last year scoring at a whopping 17-1.

And the average superfecta in the turf has paid nearly $10,000.


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