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Big Money on the Line at Delta Downs

Posted by Pete Mitchell on 11/16/2012 5:27:10 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – Rose to Gold, Madame Cactus, Salamera, Bern Identity, Central Banker, Hightail, Itsmyluckyday, Know More, Goldencents
What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Delta Downs Princess, The Delta Downs Jackpot
Where: Delta Downs
When: Saturday, November 17th

Delta Downs is the center of the horse racing universe on Saturday for anyone with a nice 2YO of either sex. The Delta Downs Princess offers a purse of $500,000 and the Delta Downs Jackpot offers a cool million in prize money. It’s no wonder that the talent runs high in both events. Let’s look at the contenders below.

#6-Salamera (5-2) has been made the morning line favorite in the Princess based on her solid second to the highly-regarded Kauai Katie two back in the Grade 2 Adirondack and prior stakes win at Calder. She didn’t handle the subsequent cross-country trip to California all that well, checking in a distant fifth last out at Santa Anita in her first two-turn try. I’ll look elsewhere for value. #3-Madame Cactus (4-1) is a logical contender, and a gem of Beyer consistency (83’s in all three starts). She has a win over the track going two turns (which is always a plus), and has trained well in the interim down the road at Fair Grounds for top conditioner Steve Asmussen. Still, I’m intrigued by #1-Rose to Gold (7-2), and am willing to toss her recent Keeneland misadventure, which came on an artificial surface she clearly didn’t like. Her win two back at Calder was eye-catching, and was accomplished in faster time and with greater ease than her male counterpart (Itsmyluckyday) on the same card. It’s also interesting that new rider Paco Lopez flew in for Rose to Gold’s November 10th gate workout at Calder…that extra bit of familiarity can only help. I’ll bet on #1-Rose to Gold to win at odds of 3-1 or better.

The Delta Downs Jackpot is even more contentious, with at least six of the nine entrants in with a serious shot at victory. #1-Bern Identity (7-2) is my selection, and could give jockey Paco Lopez a huge riding double if he turns the trick in the Princess aboard Rose to Gold. Bern Identity won the prep for this race going away, and turned in a bullet breeze locally, signaling his readiness for this affair. The Grade 2 Sanford winner is the field’s top earner ($426,000), and he possesses a versatile running style that should serve him well in here. You’ll also note that he broke from the rail in his prep, so he’s done this all before. #3-Central Banker (6-1) dominated entry-level allowance runners last out at Churchill Downs, but must prove himself around two turns. #5-Hightail (9-2) beat a compact (and somewhat suspect) group in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint, and was a nondescript 6th in a pair of two-turn tries. #6-Itsmyluckyday (8-1) won his two-turn debut last out at Calder, but his Beyer (77) won’t scare this bunch. #7-Know More (4-1) ran a game second behind Power Broker in the Grade 1 Front Runner at Santa Anita, but flopped in the BC Juvenile Turf without the benefit of Lasix. He could rebound with Lasix added and a return to dirt. #9-Goldencents (5-2) shipped east to run second behind Shanghai Bobby in the Grade 1 Champagne, and should be a strong factor on or near the lead. He has yet to try two turns, however, and doesn’t appear to offer much value as the morning line favorite. I’ll bet on #1-Bern Identity to win at odds of 3-1 or better.

Those are my horse racing betting tips for this weekend. Best of luck and happy gambling!  

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