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Rebel Winner Defiant To The End

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 3/18/2013 6:34:10 PM

According to Merriam/Webster, rebel can mean opposing or taking arms against a government or disobedient, rebellious and the winner of last Saturday’s Rebel at Oaklawn threw his hat into the Triple Crown ring by being contrary for the entire 8 and a half furlongs.

So it was only fitting the D.Wayne Lukas, who has rebelled and done it his way his long and storied sports betting career, ran one/two in the Rebel to set up yet another huge opportunity for him in the Kentucky Derby.

Lukas had to be smiling ear to ear as he watched the stretch run of the Rebel as his student Oxbow had a half-length lead at the top of the lane when putting away the prohibitive chalk in Super Ninety Nine but Oxbow could not hold off his stablemate Will Take Charge.

Take Charge did just that. He overcame a bit of traffic to get up by a head at a juicy 28-1.

The race kind of unfolded like it looked on paper. Title Contender, part of an entry with Treasury Bill, was intent on the lead and he made the lead doing his best. He was chased every step of the way by Super Ninety Nine, who basically had no other choice than to try to make the top and put away the rabbit.

By the time they hit the far turn, you could have put a fork into Title Contender because he was done and 99 had to try to hold off Oxbow.

Super Ninety Nine was in the worst betting sites position between horses and looked very uncomfortable.

Will Take Charge lost some ground but came running on the outside of Oxbow to get the victory.

The fractions of the race were legit. They went :23.36, :47.19 and 1:12.39 for three quarters.

The final time of 1:45.18 was a tad faster than the winner of the Grade 3 Azeri on the card, who ran the same 8 and a half furlongs in 1:45.26.

Will Take Charge earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95.

Both Oxbow and Will Take Charge appear to be serious players.

Steve Haskin made a good point in his Derby Dozen last week as he wrote Oxbow ran 7 points faster in his LeComte win than his previous Thoro-Graph number and a regression was probably in store but when he ran 4th in the Risen Star, he ran a 2, in both races which suggests he looms the real deal.

And the Rebel performance was not bad either.

Lukas now has some decisions to make as to where both Oxbow and Will Take Charge will go next.

Will Take Charge broke his maiden at Keeneland so it would be no surprise if he goes in the Blue Grass next out.

Oxbow has trained at Oaklawn for quite some time so the Arkansas Derby would be the logical next step.

As we all know, this is not Lukas’s first rodeo. He has won the Kentucky Derby 4 times, the Belmont Stakes 4 times and the Preakness 5 times.

If he can keep some of these horse betting stars going and win a Breeders’ Cup race, it will be his 20th BC success.

It’s heating up and we have yet to begin.


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