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Betting On Breeders Cup – Breeder’s Cup 2013 Projection

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 11/8/2012 5:26:33 PM

I have never been a big fan of having the Breeders’ Cup at the same venue consecutively or way too often, but what would have happened in this year’s Cup was at Belmont with the wrath of Hurricane Sandy in its wake?

Disaster, devastation and defeat are three Ds that come to mind.

The spirit of the horse betting founders of the Breeders Cup was to take this great sport to the great emporiums throughout the country and they have coast to coast to Kentucky and even Texas but weather is a concern.

With the 2013 Cup again at Santa Anita, let’s examine where the winners came from and what might we expect a year from now and hopefully online sports betting enthusiasts came get some clues toward the future.

First, the Euro influence has to be addressed. Of the 8 races where a Euro participated in the 2-day event, they won 2 races. Not bad, not great.

The longest shot on the sports betting board took the Juvenile Sprint from about a length and a half off the pace after cutting back from a synthetic route at Keeneland. Hightail paid 32.80.

The Marathon went to an Argentinean invader that had not raced since June but had shipped to California in September. Calidoscopia was 2nd to last early and paid $36.40.

The Euros got on the board in the Juvenile Fillies Turf when Flotilla came from 10th to pay $24.80. She was one for 4 going in, was coming off a 4th in a Group 1 at Longchamp and had no local works.

Beholder took them wire-to-wire in the Juveniles Fillies after winning a N1X with a 108 Beyer. She had blown out 3 furlongs slowly for Richard Mandella 4 days before her big success.

Zagora was coming off a 2nd in the Flower Bowl but she sat about 2 and a half off the pace and paid $20.40 after the mile and a quarter of the Filly and Mare Turf.

A champion was crowned in the Ladies Classic when Royal Delta went to the front and never looked back as the chalk. She was coming off a winning 106 Beyer in the Grade 1 Beldame.

The Euros got their only success of the day in the first BC race on Saturday when George Vancouver came from 4 off the pace in the Juvenile Turf to pay $20.60. He was third beaten 3 and a half in a Group 1 in his prior effort.

Another champ was celebrated in the F and M Sprint when Groupie Doll came from 1 and a half off in the 7- furlong race to pay $3.40. She made it 5 Graded wins in a row.

Corey Nakatani gave Tapizar a great ride in the Dirt Mile, sitting a half off the pace early to pay $32 and change. The runner was crushed in a troubled Grade 2 prior.

The stronger sex, the ladies, beat the boys in the Turf Sprint at about 6 and a half down the hill when Jim Rome’s Mizdirection came from 10th to win after running 2nd in a $75,000 stakes in May. She paid nearly $16.

Shanghai Bobby made it 5 for 5 and stamped himself as the favorite for the Kentucky Derby after winning the Juvenile as chalk. He got an ideal 2-hole trip.

Little Mike won the Turf to pay $36.60. He hated the yielding course in his previous race but sat third and held off all comers. Only one Euro was in the superfecta.

Again tactical speed was king as Trinniberg was 2nd a half off the lead in the Sprint before paying nearly $30. He was coming off a second beaten a half in a $300,000 Philly stakes but had two fast local drills under his belt.

The Horse of the Year may have been decided in the Mile when Wise Dan led early and never looked back. He was coming off a winning 105 Beyer.

Game on Dude didn’t fire in the Classic and Fort Larned made him pay when he also went all the way on the front end to pay $20.80. He was coming off a third in a Grade 1 at Belmont.

Online betting history can repeat itself so remember what happened here when next year rolls around. Tactical speed was big, the Euros were no cinch and prices where there to be had by all.


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