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Betting Kentucky Derby - Final Touches

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 5/1/2012 11:01:02 AM

Like the masterpiece painters of the golden era, today’s trainers have to put the final touches on their online Kentucky Derby betting charges before Saturday’s event so let’s look at some of the most recent workouts with some added thoughts by DRF’s Mike Welsh.

The Santa Anita Derby winner posted a 1:13.80 drill at Hollywood Park on Friday galloping out a mile in 1:41. Considering he is fairly lightly raced and needs to keep his mind on business, the feeling is that this drill will help his foundation come this weekend.

Bob Baffert was on record as saying he wanted to see how Liaison worked at Churchill and he recorded a 1:12.92 drill there on April 25 and had to be pushed along in the process. His other charge and possible favorite in the Derby popped with a solid 1:00.62 5-furlong spin.

It was a very similar move to the drill he put in right before his solid second to Creative Cause in the San Felipe.

That runner worked on the 24th at Hollywood and went in 1:00.20 without the blinkers and they will likely still be off for the Derby. Cause has never run a poor race and his consistency must be respected.

Union Rags will take a lot of cash this Saturday and his trainer was happy with his 47.40 Keeneland workout on April 20.

Rags worked again on the 28th. He clicked off fractions of :12, :23.60, :35, :47.20, got the 5 furlongs in :59.80 and galloped out 6 furlongs in 1:13.80.

Michael Matz, who trained Derby winner Barbaro, sees a happy horse in his barn in Rags.

Matz: “He was in the hot weather long enough. The track was great this year at Palm Meadows but we got up here and everything is so green. He’s really eating like a son of a gun. The grass is unbelievable. He can’t wait to get out and graze.”

It’s amazing, with all the online sports book handicapping, all the speed figures, all the Ragozin numbers etc. sometimes it can come down to just having a happy horse at the right time. Matz obviously knows what to do with a good horse.

Isn’t He Clever trained fast in New Mexico this year but just got a maintenance drill at Churchill on the 23rd going 51.60. His trainer Steve Asmussen doesn’t usually punish his runners so not too much can be taken from the drill.

A word has to go out about the chauffeurs in this year’s Derby because they will be feeling the pressure and just like all NFL quarterbacks will get the blame if things go awry.

Listen to some thoughts from Eddie Delahoussaye, who won back-to-back Derbies in 1982 with Gato Del Sol and in 1993 with Sunny’s Halo.

Eddie: “Jockeys can get nervous before the Derby because it carries more historical significance than any other race and every jock wants to win it. After I rode my first Derby, I made up my mind that the next time it was going to be like an ordinary race. That’s the thought a rider should put in his head before the Derby. Relax and hope your horse runs his race. That way you ride better. You can’t make the moves in the Derby you do in ordinary races if you put pressure on yourself. You think you can, but you can’t.  You’ve got to ride it cool, let the horse do the running and stay out of trouble.”

This is not only good advice for riders, but for sports betting online players too. Don’t get caught up in the hype and he circumstance of the Derby. Put in the work, scour the past performances and get value when the money goes down.

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