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The Derby Experience From the Winners

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 3/26/2013 7:29:30 PM

The Golden Age of racing took over in the third stanza of the century but online sports betting site players can learn a thing or two about the history of prior Derby winners and how they earned their glory.

The first Derby disqualification occurred in 1968 as Dancer’s Image was taken down for an illegal medication but the zenith was the 1973 running when Secretariat smashed the 2-minute barrier taking the Derby in 1:59 2/5 on his way to becoming the first Triple Crown winner since Citation 25 years earlier.

It’s amazing but it was only 17 years ago that Churchill entered the computer age launching kentuckyderby.com and the rest as they say is history.

As much as things stay the same, things change every year and like records are made to be broken, so are trends. And even though only one Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner has been able to parlay to a win in the Run for the Roses know that must trends will likely be broken someday.

The trend that has held up and stood the test of time is that there has been no Kentucky Derby winner who didn’t race as a 2-year-old since Apollo in 1882.

Todd Pletcher’s star Verrazano will try to buck that trend if he makes it to the Derby this year.

A betting sites look back is great and all that but in this game it’s all about what have you done for me lately? And with that in mind, lets examine some historical trends that have produced Kentucky Derby winners.

Last year, I’ll Have Another won the Robert Lewis to start his sophomore season, repeated in the Santa Anita Derby yet still paid 15-1 on the first Saturday in May.

Two years ago Animal House came off a victory in the Spiral Stakes to come from 12 of 19 to win the Derby at 20-1 with a 103 Beyer Speed Figure.

Super Saver keyed a $200,569.20 superfecta in 2010 overcoming trouble to win America’s most prestigious race.

In 2009, Mine That Bird came from nowhere, okay; it was New Mexico, to come from 19th and dead last to win under Calvin Borel paying $103.20.

The brilliant Big Brown entered the Kentucky Derby with only two starts at 3 under his belt but he powered to the lead early and drew off to win with a 109 Beyer 5 years ago.

Street Sense in 2007 became the first horse to win the BC Juvenile and parlay to success in the Kentucky Derby.

The ever-gallant Barbaro became the first horse in 50 years to win last year off a 5-week vacation but his trainer, Michael Matz, knew his horse and he was determined not to squeeze the lemon dry.

Giacomo had only won a maiden race before his Derby success but he has only won once since and that was at 9-2 against only 6 rivals.

The fact that in 2004 Derby winner Smarty Jones made it to the races at all is a tale of a survivor. Early in his career while schooling at Philly Park, the horse reared in the starting gate. He hit his head hard, fractured his skull, broke bones near the left eye, was lucky to keep the eye and had to spend weeks in an equine hospital. But he did all the laughing to the bank. And despite the posturing of Smarty’s connections about racing him as a 4-year-old after his length beat in the Belmont Stakes, he was forced to hang up the racing shoes.

In 2003 Funny Cide became the first New York bred to win and the first gelding to succeed since Clyde Van Dusen in 1929.

In War Emblem’s case, he was a horse that just got good in a hurry. He had won 4 of his first 7 starts and was coming off a 112 Beyer before taking the Derby in rare wire-to-wire fashion in 2002.

Monarchos was educated in his 2 losses as a juvenile, was unbeaten at 3 before losing in the Wood Memorial then rebounded at Churchill when the money was down a dozen years ago.

Fusiachi Pegasus was a neck away from being unbeaten going into the Derby after winning 4 straight including the Wood and the way he overcame post 15 and weaved his way through traffic was truly poetry in motion under Gary Stevens to win in Kentucky and kick off the decade.

The last winner of the 1990s was an old school hero. Charismatic was battle scarred, a former claimer and he entered the Derby off 13 races and he only finished first in one of those. Yet his seasoning carried the day and he came within a length and a half of taking the Triple Crown.

How tough is it to sniff out a Derby winner? Just check out the winning mutuels of late.

Super Saver was 20-1 and Barbaro now looks like a bargain at 6-1. Giacomo was 50-1, Smarty Jones hit at 4-1, Funny Cide in 2003 was over 12-1, War Emblem in 2002 hit at 20-1, Monarchos the year before popped at 10 and a half to one, in 2000 Fusaichi Pegasus scored for the chalk eaters and Charismatic blew up the tote at 31-1.

There are a lot of ways to skin a cat so don’t be afraid to wager with your head even if a negative horse betting trend is staring you in the face.

so-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'>Who Will Win

Again, how do you pick a game between two really bad teams that have stunk up the joint for the past five weeks in roughly equal measure? If you can pick this kind of game, you have a sixth sense for betting. Ultimately, Rudy Gay's ability to create shots in crunch time probably gives Toronto a small but real edge.

NBA Basketball Betting Pick: Toronto


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