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Bet Breeders Cup - Breeder’s Cup By The Numbers

Posted by Brian Mulligan on 10/17/2012 6:25:32 PM

As the final days dwindle down before this year’s Breeders’ Cup, those utilizing online betting sites should put your feet up, grab a drink and consider some of the numbers that are facts about this extravaganza with a nod toward history.

Be careful before betting that a horse will repeat a win in the Cup because those that have accomplished that feat are few and far between. Many have been called, few have been chosen. And the chosen few are some of the superstars of the sport.

Sure, the superhorse Goldikova won three Miles in a row, but she was an absolute horse betting freak.

Lure and Miesque both took consecutive Miles while the hardest race to win of all, the Classic, was owned by Tiznow in 2000 and 2001.

The Juvenile Fillies has not been a pretty good race for value over the years. In 2010 Awesome Feather was the ninth consecutive Juvenile Fillies winner to pay 7-1 or less and last year Stephanie’s Kitten continued the trend paying 6-1 as the third choice in the race. 

If looking for a key runner in the Filly and Mare Turf, one could do worse than isolating the favorite and using her in the top three slots in the trifecta. Since this race was first run in 1999 10 of 13 favorites have finished in the money in this race.

The say speed kills and that has been the main story in the Ladies Classic since 2003 when Adoration went wire-to-wire in this fixture. She is the only pacesetter that finished in the money in this fray since that year.

As one would expect, pedigree pays a part in winning the mile and three quarters Marathon. In the first 4 runnings of this race, having a stout influence on the top side was mandatory for victory. Winning Marathon sires so far have been A. P. Indy, Giant’s Causeway, Chester House and Afleet Alex, all major Group/Graded 1 winners at a mile and a quarter or longer.

Since the Juvenile Turf is usually comprised of a number of babies with unknown stamina issues, it has been no surprise that since the inception of this race in 2007, 4 of the 5 winners have won rallying from seventh place or worse to greet the cameraman.

And if you want to hunt for a price, the Sprint is the place to get out the weaponry. The Sprint has produced more long shot winners than any race on the BC card.

A total of 13 of the 27 sprints have been won by runners paying $20 or more and last year Amazombie just missed that distinction paying $17.80.

The Classic checks in second with the best prices with 10 winners paying $20 or more including last year’s $31.60 hero Drosselmeyer.

Of course, every Breeders’ Cup is its own animal, but online players should know full well of these trends.

A colleague from years past hated the Cup because he said all the barns were trying, unlike the normal race card when some horses are prepping for things down the line. When you think about it in those terms, trying is what makes this sports betting puzzle so hard to solve.               

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