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Pete Mitchell Nails KY Derby and Preakness Winner Plus Preakness Exacta

Posted by BetOnline Staff on 5/19/2014 9:09:19 PM

Who: Thoroughbreds – California Chrome, Ride On Curlin

What: Horse Racing Betting Tips – The Kentucky Derby, The Preakness

Where: Churchill Downs, Pimlico

When: Saturday, May 3rd and Saturday, May 17th

Pete Mitchell nailed the winner of this year’s Kentucky Derby and Preakness, selecting budding equine superstar California Chrome to capture the first two legs of the Triple Crown! He also threw in the winning Preakness Exacta combination of California Chrome over Ride On Curlin!

Check out these payoffs:

Kentucky Derby: 5-California Chrome…..$7.00 $5.60 $4.20

Preakness: 3-California Chrome……………$3.00 $3.00 $2.40

Preakness Exacta:

$1 Exacta (3-10): $9.10 (Payoff)

-$2.00 (Risk)

$7.10 (Profit…355% ROI)

By structuring an exacta ticket keying California Chrome over two contenders, Pete turned a 50% ROI on the winner (California Chrome paid $1.50 to win for a $1 wager) into a 355% ROI on the winning exacta play! That’s the key to money management at the Racetrack.

Here's what Pete wrote on our website prior to the KY Derby and Preakness:

KY Derby:

#5-California Chrome (5-2) has been on an incredible roll since late December, winning his last four starts by a combined 25 ¼ lengths. His winning streak coincides with the arrival of jockey Victor Espinoza, who will be aboard again in the Derby. CC can lead or stalk, so Post #5 should work out just fine for him. He owns the field’s top two Beyers (108, 107), both going long, and wasn’t pushed hard in either race. You’ll also note that he’s won 3-of-6 on synthetic surfaces, so he doesn’t have to carry his track around with him. Some may question the horse’s breeding and stamina, but if you look at his Tomlinson Distance Figure (293), you’ll see that he ranks 5th (out of 19) in the Derby field, and he sure doesn’t finish his races like a horse with distance limitations. The competition in California has been stout…at least as formidable as the new foes he’ll confront on Saturday, so he should be up to the task. With an alert beginning, this guy will be tough to derail.

I’ll bet on #5-California Chrome to win The Kentucky Derby at odds of 2-1 or better.

Preakness:

The 139thPreakness goes this Saturday at Pimlico with a field of 10 expected to head postward. Post time is set for 6:18 PM ET. Kentucky Derby winner California Chrome will be heavily favored, so the trick may be to figure out who to use underneath in the exotics. We’ll take a closer look at each of the Preakness starters below.

#3-California Chrome (3-5) : It will be hard to make much money with him this time, but I’m not betting against him. Based on comments from his connections, he seems to like the Pimlico surface better than Churchill Downs, which spells trouble for the competition. He has gained weight since the Derby, and is doing great. Even though he’s inside most of the speed in Post 3, with a clean break he should get a good stalking trip while working his way to the outside. Going for six straight…the pick again.

#10-Ride On Curlin (10-1) : Son of Curlin got a questionable ride in the Derby and was steadied as well. The switch to jockey Rosario should suit him just fine. His local work was solid and you’ll note he’s usually in the mix, hitting the board in 8-of-10 starts. He’s the most likely candidate to fill out exactas and tri’s.

I’ll bet on #3-California Chrome to win and key him over #1-Dynamic Impact and #10-Ride On Curlin in the exacta .

Stick with a winner! Check out Pete Mitchell’s articles every Friday in the Betting Edge section of BetOnline.ag for Free Picks and Analysis.


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